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Tuesday, March 3, 2026

Indian Markets Face Crucial Week with Trade Deal, US Tariffs in Focus

Key Market Drivers for the Coming Week

Indian stock markets face a crucial week ahead with multiple factors poised to influence sentiment, including quarterly earnings, US tariff decisions, and progress on the India-US trade deal.

Key Takeaways

  • FPIs turned net buyers in October after three months of selling
  • Q2 earnings have largely met market expectations so far
  • Major indices hit all-time highs with strong weekly gains

Trade Deal Progress and US Tariffs

Union Commerce Minister Piyush Goyal confirmed that discussions on the proposed India-US bilateral trade agreement are advancing rapidly in a positive atmosphere. Any announcements regarding this deal or US tariff actions against China could trigger fresh market momentum.

Quarterly Earnings and FPI Activity

Several major companies including HUL, SBI Life, Dr. Reddy’s, and SBI Card have already declared their July-September quarter results. Foreign Portfolio Investors have injected Rs 6,480 crore into equities this month, marking a significant reversal from three consecutive months of net selling.

Market Performance Recap

The past week saw robust gains with Nifty rising 424 points (1.68%) to close at 25,709.85 and Sensex jumping 1,451.37 points (1.76%) to settle at 83,952.19. Sectoral performance was strong across realty, FMCG, financial services, and consumption indices.

Midcap and smallcap segments showed mixed trends, with Nifty Midcap 100 gaining 0.35% while Nifty Smallcap 100 declined marginally.

Analysts attributed the rally to strength in consumption-driven sectors and broad-based recovery across realty, healthcare, and banking. “Investor confidence was further buoyed by easing concerns around asset quality in the financial sector and expectations of improved volume growth in the festive quarter,” market experts noted.

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