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Friday, January 16, 2026

US Stocks Hit Record Highs Ahead of Fed Decision and Trump-Xi Talks

Key Takeaways

  • US stock markets hit fresh record highs across all major indexes
  • Investors await Federal Reserve policy decision and Trump-Xi trade talks
  • Strong corporate earnings and M&A activity fuel market optimism
  • Global markets rally in sync with Wall Street’s bullish sentiment

US stocks surged to new peaks on Monday as investors positioned themselves for a pivotal week featuring a Federal Reserve policy meeting and crucial trade discussions between President Donald Trump and Chinese leader Xi Jinping.

Market Performance Highlights

By mid-morning trading, the S&P 500 advanced 0.9%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed 254 points (0.5%), and the Nasdaq Composite jumped 1.5%. All three benchmarks extended the record highs established just last Friday.

The rally follows substantial gains across Asian markets, where optimism built ahead of Thursday’s scheduled Trump-Xi meeting. Market participants hope the dialogue will ease trade tensions and bolster global economic growth. President Trump expressed confidence, stating “We feel good” about resolving issues with China.

Fed Policy in Focus

The S&P 500 has skyrocketed 37.6% since its April low, driven by expectations of lower interest rates, diminishing trade concerns, and strong corporate profits. Attention now shifts to Wednesday’s Federal Reserve meeting, where traders widely anticipate a second consecutive quarter-point rate cut to support a cooling labor market.

However, uncertainty persists. The central bank has indicated it might adjust its approach if inflation accelerates faster than projected. Recent inflation data slightly exceeded forecasts, but the ongoing government shutdown could delay crucial economic reports, clouding the rate cut outlook.

Corporate Earnings Momentum

Strong company results continue to power the market rally. Keurig Dr Pepper shares gained 6.9% after reporting quarterly profits matching expectations, attributed to improved K-Cup pricing. This week brings earnings from technology giants, with Alphabet, Meta Platforms, and Microsoft reporting Wednesday, followed by Amazon and Apple on Thursday.

M&A Activity Boosts Sentiment

Mergers and acquisitions contributed to the positive mood. Cadence Bank jumped 5.1% after Huntington Bancshares revealed a $7.4 billion all-stock acquisition deal, though Huntington shares declined 2.1%. Avidity Biosciences soared 42.6% after Novartis agreed to purchase the San Diego-based company for $12 billion following the spin-off of its early-stage precision cardiology programs.

Global Markets Rally

International markets mirrored Wall Street’s optimism. Japan’s Nikkei 225 surged 2.5%, breaking the 50,000 barrier for the first time amid growing public support for Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi’s market-friendly policies. Defense stocks like Kawasaki Heavy Industries leaped 9%. The Shanghai Composite rose 1.2%, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng gained 1%, and South Korea’s Kospi advanced 2.6%. European markets also traded higher.

In fixed income markets, the 10-year US Treasury yield remained stable at 4.02%. Gold prices pulled back after approaching $4,400 per ounce last week, dipping below $4,000 but maintaining impressive year-to-date gains exceeding 50%.

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