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US Food Shortage Warning: Immigration Crackdown Risks Supply Shock

US Faces Food Shortage Risk from Immigration Crackdown, Labour Department Warns

The US Labour Department has issued a warning that President Donald Trump’s immigration crackdown could trigger food shortages across the nation due to severe agricultural labour shortages.

Key Takeaways

  • Labour Department warns immigration crackdown risks “supply shock-induced food shortages”
  • 10% drop in farm workforce could cut fruit/vegetable production by 4.2%
  • 38% of foreign-born workers employed in US agriculture sector
  • New H-2A visa rules lower minimum wage to address labour crisis

In an October 2, 2025 announcement, the department stated that the “current and imminent labour shortage” caused by reduced illegal immigration poses significant risks to domestic food production.

“The current and imminent labour shortage exacerbated by the near total cessation of the inflow of illegal aliens, increased enforcement of existing immigration law, and global competitiveness pressures described below, presents a sufficient risk of supply shock-induced food shortages to justify immediate implementation,” said the US Department of Labour.

Immediate Threat to Food Supply

The department emphasized that without prompt action, Americans could face disrupted food production, higher prices, and reduced access to fresh produce.

“Without prompt action, agricultural employers will face severe labour shortages, resulting in disruption to food production, higher prices, and reduced access for U.S. consumers, particularly to fresh fruit and vegetables,” according to the official announcement.

Studies cited by the department show that a 10% reduction in agricultural workers could lead to a 4.2% decline in fruit and vegetable production and a 5.5% decrease in farm revenues.

American Workers Unlikely to Fill Gap

Despite Agriculture Secretary Brooke Rollins’ pledge to create a “100% American” agricultural workforce, the Labour Department expressed skepticism that unemployed US workers would fill the vacancies.

“In addition, the Department does not believe American workers currently unemployed or marginally employed will make themselves readily available in sufficient numbers to replace large numbers of aliens no longer entering the country,” the Department stated.

Immigrant Workforce Critical to Agriculture

Census data reveals the scale of dependence on foreign workers: nearly 19% of the US labour force is foreign-born, with 38% of them working in farming, fishing and forestry.

The warning comes as the Trump administration intensifies immigration enforcement. ICE reported arresting 66,463 undocumented immigrants during Trump’s first 100 days of his second term, including thousands with criminal backgrounds.

“During President Trump’s first 100 days, ICE alone has arrested over 65,000 illegal aliens — including 2,288 gang members from Tren de Aragua, MS-13, 18th Street and other gangs. Additionally, 1,329 were accused or convicted of sex offences, and 498 were accused or convicted of murder,” said ICE acting Director Todd M. Lyons.

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