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Perplexity Voted Most Likely AI Startup to Fail in SF Survey

Perplexity Named ‘Most Likely to Flop’ in Major AI Survey

Perplexity AI, the startup challenging Google’s dominance in search and browsers, has been voted the most likely billion-dollar AI company to fail in a recent San Francisco survey of over 300 industry attendees.

Key Takeaways

  • Perplexity ranked as most likely to fail in informal AI conference survey
  • OpenAI placed second despite maintaining market leadership
  • Both companies expanding beyond core products amid AI bubble concerns
  • Perplexity’s valuation surged from $14B to $50B in recent months

The survey conducted at the Cerebral Valley conference revealed growing skepticism about some of AI’s highest-profile startups, with OpenAI surprisingly taking the second spot for potential failure.

Perplexity spokesman Jesse Dwyer, while responding to the Cerebral Valley survey to Business Insider, said, “Geeze, it sounds more like the judgmental valley conference.”

OpenAI’s Challenging Position

Despite ChatGPT losing some momentum to Google’s Gemini and other rivals recently, OpenAI remains the dominant player in the AI chatbot market. However, the company faces similar expansion challenges as Perplexity.

Both companies have been diversifying their product offerings beyond their original niches. OpenAI has launched ChatGPT Atlas browser, Sora social media app, and group chat features, while Perplexity continues its aggressive push against Google’s core businesses.

AI Bubble Concerns Intensify

The survey results reflect broader concerns about potential overvaluation in the AI sector. Industry leaders including OpenAI CEO Sam Altman and Meta’s Mark Zuckerberg have acknowledged the possibility of an AI bubble, even while championing the technology’s transformative potential.

Questions about sustainable growth were highlighted in a recent podcast where investor Brad Gerstner challenged Altman on OpenAI’s financial commitments.

“How can a company with $13 billion in revenues make $1.4 trillion of spend commitments?” investor Brad Gerstner asked the OpenAI CEO in a podcast.

“If you want to sell your shares, I’ll find you a buyer… enough,” Altman responded.

Meanwhile, Perplexity’s rapid valuation growth from $14 billion to $50 billion in just months, combined with consecutive funding rounds, has intensified scrutiny of the company’s long-term prospects amid changing investor sentiment.

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