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Friday, January 16, 2026

Mortgage Rates Drop for Second Week Amid Economic Uncertainty

Key Takeaways

  • 30-year fixed mortgage rates fell to 6.27%, marking the second consecutive weekly decline
  • 15-year fixed rates also dropped to 5.52% from 5.53%
  • Lower rates are driving increased refinance activity and creating better conditions for homebuyers
  • Economic uncertainty and government shutdown concerns continue to weigh on housing market sentiment

Mortgage rates have declined for the second straight week, providing some relief to the housing market amid ongoing economic concerns. According to Freddie Mac’s latest survey, the benchmark 30-year fixed mortgage rate dropped to 6.27% this week from 6.3% last week.

The 15-year fixed mortgage rate also saw a slight decrease, falling to 5.52% from 5.53% last week. Both rates remain below their levels from one year ago, when 30-year loans averaged 6.44% and 15-year mortgages stood at 5.63%.

Mortgage rates chart

Positive Impact on Housing Market

Freddie Mac’s chief economist Sam Khater noted that homeowners are responding to the lower rates. “Importantly, homeowners have noticed these consistently lower rates, driving an uptick in refinance activity,” Khater said. “Combined with increased housing inventory and slower house price growth, these rates also are creating a more favorable environment for those looking to buy a home.”

Economic Concerns Persist

Despite the improving rate environment, significant challenges remain for prospective homebuyers. Realtor.com senior economist Jiayi Xu pointed to ongoing concerns about the labor market and uncertainty surrounding the federal government shutdown.

“Nationwide, buying power has declined sharply as home prices and mortgage rates continue to outpace income growth,” Xu explained. “As a result, substantial wage gains and improved financial stability will be essential to boost purchase sentiment.”

Homebuyer concerns

Xu added that the government shutdown introduces additional uncertainty, particularly affecting markets with higher concentrations of federal workers and contractors. “Broader uncertainty from the ongoing government shutdown may further weigh on sentiment – especially in markets with a higher share of federal workers and contractors, who are facing financial strain and concerns over potential layoffs,” she noted.

While the recent decline in mortgage rates has brought some homebuyers back into the market, many remain hesitant due to the combination of economic uncertainty and the ongoing affordability crisis affecting the U.S. housing market.

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