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Tuesday, November 4, 2025

India Close to Finalizing US Trade Deal, Most Issues Settled

India-US Trade Deal Nears Finalization

India is close to finalizing a major trade agreement with the United States, with government officials confirming that most issues have been resolved. However, Commerce Minister Piyush Goyal emphasized that India will not be rushed into any pact under pressure.

Key Developments

  • Substantial convergence achieved on most trade issues
  • Target to conclude first phase by fall 2025
  • Goal to increase bilateral trade to $500 billion by 2030
  • US remains India’s largest trading partner for fourth consecutive year

“There has been convergence on most issues, and a deal is in sight,” the official, speaking on condition of anonymity due to the private nature of discussions, told reporters in New Delhi.

India’s Firm Stance on Negotiations

Minister Goyal made it clear that India approaches trade deals on its own terms. “We don’t do deals in a hurry, and we don’t do deals with deadlines, with a gun on our head,” he stated during an event in Berlin.

The negotiations face challenges from US tariffs and conditions. President Trump imposed a 50% tariff on India, citing its Russian oil purchases and limited market access for American goods. Washington has also demanded that New Delhi halt all Russian imports as a key condition for the trade deal.

“I was reading in today’s paper, Germany is asking for an exemption from US sanctions on oil. The UK already has sorted or probably got an exemption for procuring oil from the US. So then why single out India,” he wondered.

Trade Impact and Statistics

The trade relationship shows mixed results amid negotiations:

  • Bilateral trade reached $131.84 billion in 2024-25
  • India’s exports to US declined by 11.93% to $5.46 billion in September
  • US accounts for 18% of India’s total goods exports
  • Merchandise imports from US increased by 11.78% to $3.98 billion

Recent diplomatic efforts included Minister Goyal leading a delegation to New York for trade talks, though discussions paused temporarily after the US announced high tariffs on Indian goods. Negotiations resumed in September with Assistant US Trade Representative Brendan Lynch meeting Indian officials in New Delhi.

Both sides have committed to working toward an early and mutually beneficial conclusion of the agreement, which would significantly boost economic ties between the world’s largest democracies.

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