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Wednesday, November 5, 2025

India’s Retail Inflation Hits 8-Year Low at 1.54% in September

India’s retail inflation has plummeted to an eight-year low of 1.54% in September 2025, providing significant relief to household budgets and policymakers.

Key Takeaways

  • Retail inflation drops to 1.54%, lowest since June 2017
  • Food prices see dramatic decline, with urban areas experiencing deflation
  • Kerala records highest state inflation at 9.05%, bucking national trend

The National Statistics Office data shows a sharp 53 basis point decline from August 2025 levels, marking the most substantial monthly improvement in recent times.

Food Prices Drive Inflation Downward

A significant drop in food prices emerged as the primary driver behind the inflation cooling. Essential items including vegetables, pulses, cereals, fruits, oils, and eggs all registered price decreases.

Food inflation fell by 164 basis points compared to August, with urban areas experiencing deflation at -2.47%. Rural areas recorded food inflation of 2.17%, marking the lowest food inflation since December 2018.

State-Level Inflation Patterns

While national inflation cooled, several states reported substantially higher rates. Kerala recorded the highest inflation at 9.05%, followed by Jammu & Kashmir (4.38%), Karnataka (3.33%), Punjab (3.06%), and Tamil Nadu (2.77%).

Sector-Specific Price Movements

The inflation picture varied across different sectors:

  • Housing: Inflation increased to 3.98% from 3.09% in August
  • Healthcare: Slightly eased to 4.34%
  • Education: Declined to 3.44%
  • Fuel & Light: Dropped to 1.98%
  • Transport & Communication: Fell to 1.82%

The data suggests broad-based price stability across most categories, with housing costs being the notable exception.

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