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Wednesday, February 4, 2026

Greenland’s Melting Ice Sparks Geopolitical Race for Arctic Control

Key Takeaways

  • The Arctic is warming four times faster than the global average, unlocking new shipping lanes and vast resource deposits.
  • Greenland’s melting ice sheet is exposing rare earth elements and minerals critical for modern technology and defence.
  • Major powers like the US, Russia, and China are actively competing for influence and control in the region.

The future control of the rapidly melting Arctic hinges on Greenland, the world’s largest island, whose strategic position and untapped mineral wealth have become the focal point of a new geopolitical race.

Why the Arctic is the New Global Hotspot

Climate change is transforming the Arctic at a staggering pace, warming it four times faster than the rest of the planet. This unprecedented ice melt is opening up new sea routes and revealing access to enormous reserves of oil, natural gas, and valuable minerals. This shift has turned the region into a critical strategic arena.

Greenland: The Key to Arctic Dominance

Greenland, an autonomous Danish territory, sits at the heart of this contest. Its retreating ice sheet is a double-edged sword: it contributes significantly to global sea-level rise while simultaneously uncovering deposits of rare earth elements and other critical minerals. These resources are essential for everything from smartphones and electric vehicles to advanced military hardware.

Whoever gains substantial influence over Greenland could potentially control access to these vital resources, shaping global supply chains and technological advancement.

The Great Power Competition Heats Up

The geopolitical manoeuvring is already intense. Russia is actively militarising its long Arctic coastline. China, declaring itself a “near-Arctic state,” is pouring investments into polar research and infrastructure. In response, the United States has reopened its consulate in Nuuk, Greenland’s capital, signalling its renewed commitment to the region.

Denmark and the Greenlandic government are now navigating a complex web of relationships with these competing global powers, each seeking a foothold.

The Open Question of Arctic Rule

The ultimate question of who will dominate the changing Arctic remains unanswered. The outcome will likely be determined not just by military presence, but by who successfully secures the key to Greenland’s vast resources and its pivotal geographic position in the newly accessible North.

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