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Friday, January 16, 2026

AI Could Drive US Unemployment to 20%, New Bill Aims to Track Impact

Key Takeaways

  • Bipartisan bill requires companies to report AI’s impact on jobs quarterly
  • AI could drive US unemployment to 20% in five years, senators warn
  • Department of Labor would publish public reports on workforce changes
  • Legislation aims to provide data for smarter policy and retraining decisions

A new bipartisan bill could force major companies to reveal how artificial intelligence is transforming American jobs, with senators warning AI could drive unemployment as high as 20%.

Senators Josh Hawley (R-Mo.) and Mark Warner (D-Va.) introduced the AI-Related Job Impacts Clarity Act, requiring corporations and federal agencies to report AI-related employment changes to the Department of Labor.

What the Bill Requires

The legislation establishes clear reporting obligations:

  • Covered entities must disclose quarterly job effects including layoffs, hiring, and unfilled positions due to automation
  • The Department of Labor must compile disclosures into public reports for Congress
  • Certain non-publicly traded companies may also fall under reporting requirements

The goal is creating consistent data on how AI is changing employment patterns nationwide.

Why Transparency Matters

Both senators emphasized the urgent need for accurate workforce data as AI adoption accelerates.

“Artificial intelligence is already replacing American workers, and experts project AI could drive unemployment up to 10 to 20% in the next five years,” Hawley warned.

“This bipartisan legislation will finally give us a clear picture of AI’s impact on the workforce,” Warner added. “Armed with this information, we can make sure AI drives opportunity instead of leaving workers behind.”

Potential Challenges

Despite its promise, the legislation faces several hurdles:

  • Companies self-defining what constitutes AI-related job impacts could lead to inconsistent reporting
  • Smaller businesses might be exempt from requirements, creating data gaps
  • Data quality depends on accurate corporate reporting without strong verification mechanisms
  • Transparency alone doesn’t protect jobs—action from policymakers and employers is still needed

How This Affects Workers

For employees in AI-exposed industries, this legislation could bring greater visibility into workforce changes. The public data would reveal which roles are being automated and where new opportunities are emerging.

The increased transparency might pressure employers to clarify whether layoffs stem from AI adoption or other business factors. With better information, workers could make smarter career planning decisions and pursue retraining before automation impacts their roles.

Policymakers could also use the data to target retraining programs and job placement efforts more effectively when specific industries face significant automation-driven job losses.

The Bottom Line

The AI-Related Job Impacts Clarity Act represents a significant step toward understanding automation’s effect on American workers. While it doesn’t prevent job displacement, it provides the factual foundation needed for informed policy decisions, targeted retraining programs, and strategic career planning.

The Department of Labor would publish regular reports highlighting where AI creates both challenges and new opportunities for workers across different sectors.

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