China is bracing for a year of extreme weather as the country’s Ministry of Water Resources warns of a dual threat: severe flooding and prolonged drought throughout 2026.
This rare and dangerous combination of climate extremes is expected to hit different parts of the country simultaneously, driven by shifting weather patterns and rising global temperatures.
The official flood season began on April 1, but the forecast is already causing concern.
In a departure from historical norms, the traditionally arid northern regions are expected to face significant flooding.
This shift suggests that typhoons, which usually batter the southern coasts, might travel much further inland and northward than usual.
WHY IS NORTH CHINA AT RISK OF FLOODING?
Heavy rains are predicted to affect the Songliao River basin and the Hai River between June and August.
These areas are not typically prepared for massive deluges, making the infrastructure particularly vulnerable.
When atmospheric conditions push tropical storms deep into the interior, the resulting rainfall can overwhelm local drainage systems.
WHAT AREAS OF CHINA ARE FACING SEVERE DROUGHT?
While the north drowns, the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River may face a different crisis.
High temperatures and low rainfall are expected to trigger intense droughts in these regions, as well as in northern Xinjiang.
This creates a paradox where one part of the nation is submerged while another is parched.
HOW WILL SOUTH CHINA BE AFFECTED?
From April to May, the Pearl River Delta and provinces like Fujian and Zhejiang are likely to see water levels exceed warning marks.
This early onset of the flood season poses a risk to agriculture and urban centres alike.
Meanwhile, the southwest may experience dry spells, complicating the water management strategy for the entire country.
Scientists often point to climate change as the culprit for such erratic swings.
As the atmosphere warms, it holds more moisture, leading to heavier bursts of rain, while simultaneously accelerating evaporation in other areas.
China now faces the monumental task of managing these two extremes at the same time to protect its citizens and its economy.
