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Wednesday, February 4, 2026

India Denies $500 Billion US Trade Deal, Confirms Limited Pact

India-US Trade Deal: Limited Agreement in Focus, Not $500 Billion Pact

India has officially clarified that no $500 billion trade deal with the United States is under negotiation, contradicting a claim made by US President Donald Trump. The Ministry of Commerce and Industry stated that both nations are working only on a “limited trade deal” to address immediate concerns.

Key Takeaways

  • India denies a $500 billion trade deal with the US, as claimed by President Trump.
  • A smaller, limited trade pact is being negotiated and is expected to be signed soon.
  • The deal focuses on reciprocal tariff cuts on specific goods like US almonds and Indian textiles.
  • Experts question the feasibility of a $500 billion deal given current bilateral trade volumes.

Trump’s $500 Billion Claim vs. India’s Clarification

During a press conference in New Delhi, President Trump announced, “We are doing a very big trade deal with India. It will be USD 500 billion. It will be the biggest trade deal ever.”

However, the Indian Ministry of Commerce and Industry promptly responded, stating it is “not aware of any such deal” and that discussions are confined to a limited agreement.

What the Limited Trade Deal Entails

The imminent pact is expected to involve reciprocal tariff reductions. The US is seeking lower duties on its agricultural exports like almonds, apples, and walnuts. In return, India aims for better market access for its textiles and engineering goods.

Background and Feasibility Concerns

Trade talks between India and the US have been ongoing for years, stalled by issues like tariffs, market access, and data localization. Experts have expressed skepticism about a $500 billion deal, noting that total bilateral trade stood at $142 billion in 2018-19, making such a massive jump implausible in the near term.

The limited deal, likely to be signed during the US President’s visit, is seen as a stepping stone towards a more comprehensive agreement in the future.

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