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Friday, January 16, 2026

Electricity Prices Set to Jump 20% in Five Years, Energy Firm Warns

Key Takeaways

  • Electricity prices projected to rise 20% within 4-5 years
  • Energy bosses blame complex regulations for high costs
  • Government rejects warnings, cites Ukraine war impact

UK households face a potential 20% surge in electricity bills over the next four to five years, according to the country’s largest energy supplier. The stark warning comes from Octopus Energy executives during parliamentary testimony.

Energy Bosses Sound Alarm

Rachel Fletcher, director for regulation and economics at Octopus Energy, told MPs that urgent government action is needed to reform how wholesale gas prices determine UK energy costs. “There are proposals on the table we think the Government should be looking at to take gas out the wholesale market and put it into a strategic reserve,” she stated.

Fletcher emphasized the gravity of the situation: “I think that needs very serious and urgent consideration. If we continue on the path that we are on right now, in all likelihood electricity prices for a typical customer are going to be 20% higher in four or five years’ time than they are now, and that’s even if wholesale prices halve.”

Regulatory Burden Blamed

Energy executives pointed to “complex regulations” as a key driver behind the UK’s higher wholesale energy prices compared to other European nations. The warnings emerged during an Energy and Net Zero Select Committee session, occurring just two weeks after typical household energy bills increased by 2%.

Simone Rossi, chief executive of EDF UK, highlighted the regulatory cost disparity: “The point is that bills are very high and there are things we can do to reduce them. From point of delivery, the cost of serving customers in the UK is about £100 per annum, and in France it is 45 euros, so more or less half.”

Rossi clarified that this difference stems from regulatory complexity rather than wholesale costs: “This is not to do with wholesale price or gas marginal costs but is driven by the fact we have a very complex regulation which has become more sophisticated over the years.”

Government Response

A Department for Energy Security and Net Zero spokesperson firmly rejected the energy firms’ projections: “We categorically reject this speculation. Wholesale gas costs for households remain 75% higher than they were before Russia invaded Ukraine in 2022, and the main reason energy bills remain high.”

The spokesperson outlined the government’s alternative approach: “The only way to bring down energy bills for good is by making Britain a clean energy superpower, which will get the UK off the rollercoaster of fossil fuel prices and onto clean, homegrown power that we control.”

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